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The Drake Equation

The Drake Equation

N = fs * fp * ne * fld * fi * fc * fl
 

N = The number of communicative civilizations in the Milky Way

fs = The number of stars in the Milky Way

fp = The fraction of those stars with planets (Current evidence indicates that planetary systems may be common for stars like our Sun.)

ne = The number of Earth-like worlds per planetary system

fld = The fraction of those Earth-like planets where life actually develops

fi = The fraction of life sites where intelligence develops

fc = The fraction of communicative planets (those on which electromagnetic communications technology develops)

fl = The fraction of a planet's lifetime that has a technological civilization
 

If we substitute,
N = fs * fp * ne * fld * fi * fc * fl

with

N = 400 billion (1/4) 2 (1/2) (1/10) (1/10) (1/100 million)

then

N ~ 10 technological civilizations in just the Milky Way Galaxy!
 

What would we do to determine the number of technological civilizations that exist in the Universe? Multiply this by 50-200 billion; the estimated number of galaxies in our Universe.

Click here for the Javascript version of the Drake Equation.